Economic Calendar

Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Nov 15
8:30 Nov NY Fed Manufacturing 30.9 21.20 19.80
Tuesday, Nov 16
8:30 Oct Export prices mm (%) 1.5 0.9 0.1
8:30 Oct Retail Sales (%) 1.7 1.4 0.7
8:30 Oct Import prices mm (%) 1.2 1.0 0.4
9:15 Oct Industrial Production (%) +1.6 0.7 -1.3
10:00 Nov NAHB housing market indx 83 80 80
10:00 Sep Business Inventories (% ) 0.7 0.7 0.6
Wednesday, Nov 17
8:30 Oct House starts mm: change (%) -0.7 -1.6
8:30 Oct Housing starts number mm (ml) 1.520 1.576 1.555
8:30 Oct Building permits: number (ml) 1.650 1.638 1.586
8:30 Oct Build permits: change mm (%) 4.0 -7.8
Thursday, Nov 18
8:30 Nov Philly Fed Business Index 39.0 24.0 23.8
10:00 Oct Leading index chg mm (%) 0.9 0.8 0.2
Monday, Nov 22
10:00 Oct Existing home sales (ml) 6.34 6.20 6.29
10:00 Oct Exist. home sales % chg (%) 0.8 7.0
11:30 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) 58
13:00 5-Yr Note Auction (bl) 59
Tuesday, Nov 23
9:45 Nov Markit Services PMI 57.0 59.0 58.7
9:45 Nov Markit Manuf. PMI 59.1 59.0 58.4
9:45 Nov Markit Composite PMI 56.5 57.6
11:30 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) 24
13:00 7-Yr Note Auction (bl) 59
Wednesday, Nov 24
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 295.7 282.5
7:00 w/e MBA Refi Index 2706.2 2695.0
8:30 Q3 GDP Prelim (%) 2.1 2.2 2.0
8:30 Oct Durable goods (%) -0.5 0.2 -0.3
8:30 Oct Core CapEx (%) 0.6 0.5 0.8
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 199 260 268
8:30 w/e Continued Claims (ml) 2.049 2.033 2.080
10:00 Oct Outlays (consumer spending) (%) 1.3 1.0 0.6
10:00 Oct Core PCE Inflation (y/y) (%) 4.1 4.1 3.6
10:00 Oct New Home Sales (ml) 0.745 0.800 0.800
10:00 Nov Consumer Sentiment (ip) 67.4 66.9 66.8
10:00 Nov Sentiment: 5y Inflation (%) 3.0 2.9
10:00 Nov Sentiment: 1y Inflation (%) 4.9 4.9
10:00 Oct New Home Sales (%) (%) 0.4 14.0
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) 1.017 -0.481 -2.101
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Nov 29
10:00 Oct Pending Sales Index 125.2 116.7
10:00 Oct Pending Home Sales (%) +7.5 0.9 -2.3
Tuesday, Nov 30
9:00 Sep Case Shiller Home Prices y/y (% ) +19.1 19.3 19.7
9:00 Sep FHFA Home Prices y/y (%) 17.7 18.5
9:00 Sep CaseShiller Home Prices m/m (%) +1.0 1.2 1.2
9:00 Sep FHFA Home Price Index m/m (%) 0.9 1.0
9:45 Nov Chicago PMI 61.8 67.0 68.4
10:00 Nov Consumer confidence 109.5 111.0 113.8
Wednesday, Dec 01
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 310.7 295.7
7:00 w/e MBA Refi Index 2304.5 2706.2
8:15 Nov ADP National Employment (k) 534 525 571
10:00 Nov ISM Manufacturing PMI 61.1 61.0 60.8
10:00 Nov ISM Mfg Prices Paid 82.4 85.5 85.7
10:00 Oct Construction spending (%) 0.2 0.4 -0.5
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) -0.910 -1.237 1.017
Thursday, Dec 02
7:30 Nov Challenger layoffs (k) 14.875 22.822
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 222 240 199
8:30 w/e Continued Claims (ml) 1.956 2.000 2.049
Friday, Dec 03
8:30 Nov Average earnings mm (%) 0.3 0.4 0.4
8:30 Nov Non-farm payrolls (k) 210 550 531
8:30 Nov Average workweek hrs (hr) 34.8 34.7 34.7
8:30 Nov Unemployment rate mm (%) 4.2 4.5 4.6
10:00 Oct Factory orders mm (%) 1.0 0.5 0.2
10:00 Nov ISM N-Mfg Bus Act 74.6 69.8
10:00 Nov ISM N-Mfg PMI 69.1 65.0 66.7
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Tuesday, Dec 07
8:30 Q3 Productivity Revised (%) -4.9 -5.0
8:30 Q3 Labor Costs Revised (%) 8.3 8.3
8:30 Oct International trade mm $ (bl) -67.0 -80.9
15:00 Oct Consumer credit (bl) 26.00 29.91
Wednesday, Dec 08
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 310.7
7:00 w/e MBA Refi Index 2304.5
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) -1.237 -0.910
13:00 10-yr Note Auction (bl) 36
Thursday, Dec 09
10:00 Oct Wholesale sales mm (%) 0.4 1.1
10:00 Oct Wholesale inventories mm (%) 1.1 2.2
13:00 30-Yr Bond Auction (bl) 22
Friday, Dec 10
8:30 Nov Core CPI (Annual) (%) 4.9 4.6
8:30 Nov Consumer Price Index (CPI) (%) 0.7 0.9
10:00 Dec 1yr Inflation Outlook (%) 4.9
10:00 Dec Consumer Sentiment 67.0 67.4
10:00 Dec 5yr Inflation Outlook (%) 3.0
14:00 Nov Federal budget, $ (bl) -179.00 -165.00

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