Economic Calendar

Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Jul 27
8:30 Jun Nondefense ex-air (%) 3.3 2.3 1.6
8:30 Jun Durable goods (%) 7.3 7.0 15.7
Tuesday, Jul 28
9:00 May CaseShiller 20 mm SA (%) 0.0 0.3 0.3
9:00 May CaseShiller 20 yy (% ) 3.7 4.0 4.0
10:00 Jul Consumer confidence 92.6 94.5 98.1
Wednesday, Jul 29
10:00 Jun Pending Sales Index 116.1 99.6
10:00 Jun Pending Home Sales (%) +16.6 15.0 44.3
14:00 N/A FOMC rate decision (%) 0.000 - 0.250 0.125 0.125
Thursday, Jul 30
8:30 Q2 GDP Advance (%) -32.9 -34.1 -5.0
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 1434 1450 1422
8:30 w/e Continued jobless claims (ml) 17.018 16.200 16.151
Friday, Jul 31
8:30 Q2 Employment costs (%) 0.5 0.6 0.8
8:30 Jun Personal Income (%) -1.1 -0.5 -4.2
8:30 Jun Consumer Spending (Consumption) (%) 5.6 5.5 8.2
8:30 Jun Core PCE Inflation (y/y) (%) 0.9 1.0 1.0
8:30 Jun Core PCE (m/m) (%) 0.2 0.2 0.1
9:45 Jul Chicago PMI 51.9 43.9 36.6
10:00 Jul Consumer Sentiment (ip) 72.5 73.0 73.2
10:00 Jul Consumer Inflation Expectations (5yr) (%) 2.6 2.7
10:00 Jul Consumer Inflation Expectations (1yr) (%) 3.0 3.1
Monday, Aug 03
10:00 Jun Construction spending (%) -0.7 1.0 -2.1
10:00 Jul ISM Manufacturing PMI 54.2 53.6 52.6
10:00 Jul ISM Mfg Prices Paid 53.2 52.0 51.3
Tuesday, Aug 04
9:45 Jul ISM-New York index 807.8 806.0
10:00 Jun Factory orders mm (%) 6.2 5.0 8.0
Wednesday, Aug 05
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 798.8 841.9
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 300.7 306.1
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 3688.1 3955.9
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 3.14 3.20
8:15 Jul ADP National Employment (k) 167 1500 2369
8:30 Jun International trade mm $ (bl) -50.7 -50.1 -54.6
10:00 Jul ISM N-Mfg Bus Act 67.2 60.0 66.0
10:00 Jul ISM N-Mfg PMI 58.1 55.0 57.1
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) -7.373 -3.001 -10.612
Thursday, Aug 06
7:30 Jul Challenger layoffs (k) 262.649 170.219
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 1186 1415 1435
8:30 w/e Continued jobless claims (ml) 16.107 16.720 16.951
Friday, Aug 07
8:30 Jul Average earnings mm (%) 0.2 -0.5 -1.2
8:30 Jul Private Payrolls (k) 1462 1474 4767
8:30 Jul Manufacturing payrolls (k) 26 253 356
8:30 Jul Non-farm payrolls (k) 1763 1600 4800
8:30 Jul Average workweek hrs (hr) 34.5 34.4 34.5
8:30 Jul Unemployment rate mm (%) 10.2 10.5 11.1
10:00 Jun Wholesale inventories mm (%) -1.4 -2.0 -2.0
10:00 Jun Wholesale sales mm (%) 8.8 4.9 5.4
15:00 Jun Consumer credit (bl) 8.95 10.00 -18.28
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Aug 10
10:00 Jul Employment Trends 49.00
Tuesday, Aug 11
8:30 Jul Core Producer Prices YY (%) 0.0 0.1
8:30 Jul Producer Prices (%) 0.3 -0.2
8:30 Jul Core Producer Prices MM (%) 0.1 -0.3
Wednesday, Aug 12
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 798.8
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 300.7
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 3688.1
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 3.14
8:30 Jul Core CPI (Annual) (%) 1.1 1.2
8:30 Jul Consumer Price Index (CPI) (%) 0.3 0.6
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) -3.100 -7.373
14:00 Jul Federal budget, $ (bl) -193.00 -864.00
Thursday, Aug 13
8:30 Jul Import prices mm (%) 0.6 1.4
8:30 Jul Export prices mm (%) 0.4 1.4
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 1140 1186
8:30 w/e Continued jobless claims (ml) 15.898 16.107
Friday, Aug 14
8:30 Jul Retail Sales (%) 1.8 7.5
8:30 Q2 Labor Costs Preliminary (%) 6.1 5.1
8:30 Q2 Productivity Preliminary (%) 1.5 -0.9
9:15 Jul Capacity Utilization (%) 70.2 68.6
9:15 Jul Industrial Production (%) 3.0 5.4
10:00 Aug 5yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.6
10:00 Aug Consumer Sentiment 72.0 72.5
10:00 Aug 1yr Inflation Outlook (%) 3.0
10:00 Jun Business Inventories (% ) -1.2 -2.3
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Aug 17
8:30 Aug NY Fed Manufacturing 16.50 17.20
10:00 Aug NAHB housing market indx 60 72
Tuesday, Aug 18
8:30 Jul House starts mm: change (%) 17.3
8:30 Jul Build permits: change mm (%) 3.5
8:30 Jul Housing starts number mm (ml) 1.230 1.186
8:30 Jul Building permits: number (ml) 1.295 1.258
Thursday, Aug 20
8:30 Aug Philly Fed Business Index 21.0 24.1
10:00 Jul Leading index chg mm (%) 1.0 2.0
Friday, Aug 21
9:45 Aug PMI-Composite (source:Markit) 50.3
9:45 Aug PMI-Manufacturing (Markit) 51.5 50.9
9:45 Aug PMI-Services (Markit) 51.0 50.0
10:00 Jul Existing home sales (ml) 5.10 4.72
10:00 Jul Exist. home sales % chg (%) 24.5 20.7

Event Importance:
No Stars = Insignificant   |   Low   |   Moderate   |   Important   |   Very Important