Economic Calendar

Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Feb 05
10:00 Jan ISM N-Mfg PMI 59.9 56.5 55.9
10:00 Jan Employment Trends 106.9 107.1
10:00 Jan ISM N-Mfg Bus Act 59.8 57.2 57.3
Tuesday, Feb 06
8:30 Dec International trade mm $ (bl) -53.1 -52.0 -50.5
Wednesday, Feb 07
15:00 Dec Consumer credit (bl) 18.45 20.00 27.95
Friday, Feb 09
10:00 Dec Wholesale inventories mm (%) 0.4 0.2 0.2
10:00 Dec Wholesale sales mm (%) 1.2 0.6 1.5
Monday, Feb 12
14:00 Jan Federal budget, $ (bl) 49.0 51.00 -23.00
Wednesday, Feb 14
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 240.4 255.4
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 399.4 416.3
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 1274 1299.3
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.57 4.50
8:30 Jan Retail Sales (%) -0.3 0.2 0.4
8:30 Jan Real weekly earnings mm (%) -0.8 -0.3 0.2
8:30 Jan CPI mm, sa (%) +0.5 0.3 0.1
8:30 Jan Core CPI, Monthly (seasonally adjusted) (%) +0.3 0.2 0.3
8:30 Jan Core CPI Year/Year (%) +1.8 1.7 1.8
8:30 Jan CPI yy, nsa (%) +2.1 1.9 2.1
10:00 Dec Business Inventories (% ) +0.4 0.3 0.4
10:30 w/e Petroleum Distillate Inventory (ml) -0.459 -1.130 3.926
10:30 w/e Gasoline Inventory (ml) 3.599 1.229 3.414
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) 1.841 2.825 1.895
Thursday, Feb 15
8:30 Jan Producer Prices (%) +0.4 0.4 -0.1
8:30 Jan Core Producer Prices MM (%) +0.4 0.2 -0.1
8:30 Feb Philly Fed Business Index 25.8 21.1 22.2
8:30 Feb NY Fed Manufacturing 13.1 17.50 17.70
8:30 Jan Core Producer Prices YY (%) +2.2 2.1 2.3
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 230 230 221
9:15 Jan Capacity Utilization (%) 77.5 78.0 77.9
9:15 Jan Industrial Production (%) -0.1 0.2 0.9
10:00 Feb NAHB housing market indx 72 72 72
13:00 30-Yr Bond Auction (bl) 7
Friday, Feb 16
8:30 Jan Export prices mm (%) +0.8 0.3 -0.1
8:30 Jan Import prices mm (%) +1.0 0.6 0.1
8:30 Jan House starts mm: change (%) +9.7 -8.2
8:30 Jan Housing starts number mm (ml) 1.326 1.234 1.192
8:30 Jan Building permits: number (ml) 1.396 1.300 1.300
8:30 Jan Build permits: change mm (%) +7.4 -0.2
10:00 Feb 5yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.5 2.5
10:00 Feb Consumer Sentiment 99.9 95.5 95.7
10:00 Feb 1yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.7 2.7
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Tuesday, Feb 20
13:00 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) 28
Wednesday, Feb 21
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 240.4
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 1274.0
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 399.4
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 1274.0
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.57
10:00 Jan Existing home sales (ml) 5.60 5.57
10:00 Jan Exist. home sales % chg (%) 0.9 -3.6
11:30 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) 15
Thursday, Feb 22
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 230 230
10:00 Jan Leading index chg mm (%) 0.7 0.6
11:00 w/e Gasoline Inventory (ml) -0.558 3.599
11:00 w/e Gasoline Inventory (ml) 3.599
11:00 w/e Petroleum Distillate Inventory (ml) -1.633 -0.459
11:00 w/e Petroleum Distillate Inventory (ml) -0.459
11:00 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) 1.333 1.841
11:00 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) 1.841
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Feb 26
10:00 Jan New home sales chg mm (%) 2.4 -9.3
10:00 Jan New home sales-units mm (ml) 0.642 0.625
Tuesday, Feb 27
8:30 Jan Nondefense ex-air (%) 0.4 -0.6
8:30 Jan Durable goods (%) -2.0 2.8
9:00 Dec CaseShiller 20 mm nsa (%) 0.2
9:00 Dec CaseShiller 20 yy (% ) 6.2 6.4
9:00 Dec Monthly Home Price yy (%) 6.5
9:00 Dec CaseShiller 20 mm SA (%) 0.6 0.7
9:00 Dec Monthly Home Price mm (%) 0.4
10:00 Feb Consumer confidence 126.0 125.4
Wednesday, Feb 28
8:30 Q4 GDP Prelim (%) 2.5 2.6
9:45 Feb Chicago PMI 64.0 65.7
10:00 Jan Pending Home Sales (%) 0.5 0.5
10:00 Jan Pending Sales Index 110.1
Thursday, Mar 01
8:30 Jan PCE (y/y) (%) 1.7
8:30 Jan Consumer Spending (Consumption) (%) 0.2 0.4
8:30 Jan Core PCE (m/m) (%) 0.3 0.2
8:30 Jan Core PCE (y/y) (%) 1.5 1.5
8:30 Jan Personal Income (%) 0.3 0.4
10:00 Feb ISM Manufacturing PMI 58.6 59.1
10:00 Feb ISM Mfg Prices Paid 73.0 72.7
10:00 Jan Construction spending (%) 0.2 0.7
15:30 Feb All car sales (ml) 5.77
15:30 Feb All truck sales (ml) 11.36
15:30 Feb Domestic car sales (ml) 4.30 4.11
15:30 Feb Domestic truck sales (ml) 9.18
15:30 Feb Total Vehicle Sales (ml) 17.25 17.12
Friday, Mar 02
8:45 Feb ISM-New York index 767.9
10:00 Feb U Mich 1Yr Inf Final (%)
10:00 Feb U Mich Sentiment Final (ip) 98.0 94.4
10:00 Feb U Mich 5-Yr Inf Final (%)

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