Economic Calendar

Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Aug 12
14:00 Jul Federal budget, $ (bl) -120.00 -120.00 -8.00
Tuesday, Aug 13
8:30 Jul Core CPI (Annual) (%) 2.2 2.1 2.1
8:30 Jul Consumer Price Index (CPI) (%) 0.3 0.3 0.1
Wednesday, Aug 14
8:30 Jul Import prices mm (%) 0.2 0.0 -0.9
8:30 Jul Export prices mm (%) 0.2 0.0 -0.7
Thursday, Aug 15
8:30 Jul Retail Sales (%) 0.7 0.3 0.4
8:30 Aug Philly Fed Business Index 16.8 10.0 21.8
8:30 Q2 Labor Costs Preliminary (%) 2.4 2.0 -1.6
8:30 Q2 Productivity Preliminary (%) 2.3 1.5 3.4
8:30 Aug NY Fed Manufacturing 4.80 3.00 4.30
8:30 w/e Continued jobless claims (ml) 1.726 1.690 1.687
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 220 214 211
9:15 Jul Capacity Utilization (%) 77.5 77.8 77.9
9:15 Jul Industrial Production (%) -0.2 0.1 0.0
9:30 Q2 Productivity Revised (%) 2.3 2.3
9:30 Q2 Labor Costs Revised (%) 2.4 2.4
10:00 Aug NAHB housing market indx 66 65 65
10:00 Jun Business Inventories (% ) 0.0 0.1 0.3
Friday, Aug 16
8:30 Jul House starts mm: change (%) -4.0 -0.9
8:30 Jul Housing starts number mm (ml) 1.191 1.257 1.253
8:30 Jul Building permits: number (ml) 1.336 1.270 1.232
8:30 Jul Build permits: change mm (%) 8.4 -5.2
10:00 Aug 5yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.6 2.5
10:00 Aug 1yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.7 2.6
10:00 Aug Consumer Sentiment 92.1 97.2 98.4
Wednesday, Aug 21
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 614.6 620.4
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 243.8 252.6
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 2754.7 2742.9
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 3.90 3.93
10:00 Jul Exist. home sales % chg (%) 2.5 2.5 -1.7
10:00 Jul Existing home sales (ml) 5.42 5.39 5.27
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) -2.7 -1.889 1.580
Thursday, Aug 22
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 209 216 221
8:30 w/e Continued jobless claims (ml) 1.674 1.700 1.728
10:00 Jul Leading index chg mm (%) 0.5 0.2 -0.3
13:00 30-Yr TIPS Auction (bl) 7
Friday, Aug 23
10:00 Jul New home sales chg mm (%) -12.8 -0.2 7.0
10:00 Jul New home sales-units mm (ml) 0.635 0.649 0.646
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Aug 26
8:30 Jul Durable goods (%) 1.1 1.9
8:30 Jul Nondefense ex-air (%) -0.1 1.5
Tuesday, Aug 27
9:00 Jun Monthly Home Price mm (%) 0.1
9:00 Jun Monthly Home Price yy (%) 5.0
9:00 Jun CaseShiller 20 yy (% ) 2.5 2.4
9:00 Jun CaseShiller 20 mm SA (%) 0.1 0.1
10:00 Aug Consumer confidence 130.0 135.7
Wednesday, Aug 28
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 614.6
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 243.8
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 2754.7
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 3.90
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) -1.889 -2.700
11:30 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) 18
Thursday, Aug 29
8:30 Q2 GDP Prelim (%) 2.0 2.1
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 215 209
8:30 w/e Continued jobless claims (ml) 1.680 1.674
10:00 Jul Pending Home Sales (%) 0.1 2.8
10:00 Jul Pending Sales Index 108.3
Friday, Aug 30
8:30 Jul Personal Income (%) 0.3 0.4
8:30 Jul Consumer Spending (Consumption) (%) 0.5 0.3
8:30 Jul PCE (y/y) (%) 1.4
8:30 Jul Core PCE (m/m) (%) 0.2 0.2
8:30 Jul Core PCE Inflation (y/y) (%) 1.7 1.6
9:45 Aug Chicago PMI 49.7 47.5 44.4
10:00 Aug Consumer Sentiment (ip) 92.1 92.1
10:00 Aug Consumer Inflation Expectations (1yr) (%) 2.7
10:00 Aug Consumer Inflation Expectations (5yr) (%) 2.6
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Tuesday, Sep 03
10:00 Aug ISM Manufacturing PMI 51.4 51.2
10:00 Jul Construction spending (%) 0.3 -1.3
10:00 Aug ISM Mfg Prices Paid 49.6 45.1
Wednesday, Sep 04
8:30 Jul International trade mm $ (bl) -55.5 -55.2
9:45 Aug ISM-New York index 878.8
Thursday, Sep 05
7:30 Aug Challenger layoffs (k) 38.845
8:15 Aug ADP National Employment (k) 150 156
8:30 Q3 Labor Costs Revised (%) 2.4 -0.8 2.4
8:30 Q3 Productivity Revised (%) 2.3 3.5 2.3
10:00 Jul Factory orders mm (%) 0.3 0.6
10:00 Aug ISM N-Mfg Bus Act 58.3 53.1
10:00 Aug ISM N-Mfg PMI 54.1 53.7
Friday, Sep 06
8:30 Aug Average earnings mm (%) 0.3 0.3
8:30 Aug Private Payrolls (k) 144 148
8:30 Aug Manufacturing payrolls (k) 10 16
8:30 Aug Non-farm payrolls (k) 155 164
8:30 Aug Average workweek hrs (hr) 34.3 34.3
8:30 Aug Unemployment rate mm (%) 3.7 3.7

Event Importance:
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