Economic Calendar

Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Sep 10
10:00 Aug Employment Trends 110.88 109.9
Tuesday, Sep 11
10:00 Jul Wholesale inventories mm (%) 0.6 0.7 0.7
10:00 Jul Wholesale sales mm (%) 0.0 0.3 -0.1
Wednesday, Sep 12
8:30 Aug Producer Prices (%) -0.1 0.2 0.0
8:30 Aug Core Producer Prices MM (%) -0.1 0.2 0.1
8:30 Aug Core Producer Prices YY (%) +2.3 2.7 2.7
Thursday, Sep 13
8:30 Aug Real weekly earnings mm (%) +0.1 0.1 -0.2
8:30 Aug CPI mm, sa (%) +0.2 0.3 0.2
8:30 Aug Core CPI Year/Year (%) +2.2 2.4 2.4
8:30 Aug CPI yy, nsa (%) +2.7 2.8 2.9
8:30 Aug Core CPI, Monthly (seasonally adjusted) (%) +0.1 0.2 0.2
14:00 Aug Federal budget, $ (bl) -214 -156.50 -77.00
Friday, Sep 14
8:30 Aug Export prices mm (%) -0.1 0.0 -0.5
8:30 Aug Retail Sales (%) 0.1 0.4 0.5
8:30 Aug Import prices mm (%) -0.6 -0.2 0.0
9:15 Aug Capacity Utilization (%) 78.1 78.2 78.1
9:15 Aug Industrial Production (%) 0.4 0.3 0.1
10:00 Sep Consumer Sentiment 100.8 96.6 96.2
10:00 Sep 1yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.8 3.0
10:00 Sep 5yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.4 2.6
10:00 Jul Business Inventories (% ) 0.6 0.6 0.1
Monday, Sep 17
8:30 Sep NY Fed Manufacturing 19.00 22.60 25.60
Tuesday, Sep 18
10:00 Sep NAHB housing market indx 67 66 67
Wednesday, Sep 19
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 342.7 337.4
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 234.2 233.5
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 917.1 884.3
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.88 4.84
8:30 Q2 Current account (bl) -101.5 -103.5 -124.1
8:30 Aug Building permits: number (ml) 1.229 1.310 1.303
8:30 Aug Housing starts number mm (ml) 1.282 1.235 1.168
8:30 Aug House starts mm: change (%) 9.2 0.9
8:30 Aug Build permits: change mm (%) -5.7 0.9
10:30 w/e Gasoline Inventory (ml) -1.719 -0.104 1.250
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) -2.057 -2.741 -5.296
10:30 w/e Petroleum Distillate Inventory (ml) 0.839 0.651 6.163
Thursday, Sep 20
8:30 Sep Philly Fed Business Index 22.9 17.0 11.9
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 201 210 204
10:00 Aug Exist. home sales % chg (%) 0.0 0.3 -0.7
10:00 Aug Existing home sales (ml) 5.34 5.35 5.34
10:00 Aug Leading index chg mm (%) 0.4 0.5 0.6
13:00 10-yr TIPS Auction (bl) 11
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Sep 24
13:00 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) 37
Tuesday, Sep 25
9:00 Jul CaseShiller 20 mm nsa (%) +0.3 0.5 0.5
9:00 Jul Monthly Home Price yy (%) 6.4 6.5
9:00 Jul CaseShiller 20 yy (% ) +5.9 6.2 6.3
9:00 Jul Monthly Home Price mm (%) 0.2 0.2
9:00 Jul CaseShiller 20 mm SA (%) +0.1 0.1 0.1
10:00 Sep Consumer confidence 138.4 132.0 133.4
11:30 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) 17
13:00 5-Yr Note Auction (bl) 38
Wednesday, Sep 26
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 234.2
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 917.1
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 342.7
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.88
10:00 Aug New home sales-units mm (ml) 0.630 0.627
10:00 Aug New home sales chg mm (%) 0.5 -1.7
10:30 w/e Gasoline Inventory (ml) 0.788 -1.719
10:30 w/e Petroleum Distillate Inventory (ml) 0.752 0.839
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) -1.279 -2.057
14:00 N/A FOMC rate decision (%) 2.125 1.875
Thursday, Sep 27
8:30 Q2 GDP Final (%) 4.2 4.2
8:30 Aug Durable goods (%) 2.0 -1.7
8:30 Aug Nondefense ex-air (%) 0.4 1.6
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 210 201
10:00 Aug Pending Sales Index 106.2
10:00 Aug Pending Home Sales (%) -0.4 -0.7
Friday, Sep 28
8:30 Aug Personal Income (%) 0.4 0.3
8:30 Aug Consumer Spending (Consumption) (%) 0.3 0.4
8:30 Aug PCE (y/y) (%) 2.3
8:30 Aug Core PCE (m/m) (%) 0.1 0.2
8:30 Aug Core PCE (y/y) (%) 2.0 2.0
9:45 Sep Chicago PMI 62.5 63.6
10:00 Sep U Mich 5-Yr Inf Final (%) 2.4
10:00 Sep U Mich Sentiment Final (ip) 100.8 100.8
10:00 Sep U Mich 1Yr Inf Final (%) 2.8
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Oct 01
10:00 Sep ISM Manufacturing PMI 60.5 61.3
10:00 Aug Construction spending (%) 0.4 0.1
10:00 Sep ISM Mfg Prices Paid 70.8 72.1
14:00 Sep Federal budget, $ (bl) -156.50 -214.00
Tuesday, Oct 02
9:45 Sep ISM-New York index 810.7
15:30 Sep All truck sales (ml) 11.58
15:30 Sep All car sales (ml) 5.14
15:30 Sep Domestic truck sales (ml) 9.37
15:30 Sep Total Vehicle Sales (ml) 16.80 16.72
15:30 Sep Domestic car sales (ml) 3.77
Wednesday, Oct 03
8:15 Sep ADP National Employment (k) 185 163
10:00 Sep ISM N-Mfg PMI 58.3 58.5
10:00 Sep ISM N-Mfg Bus Act 56.9 60.7
Thursday, Oct 04
7:30 Sep Challenger layoffs (k) 38.472
10:00 Aug Factory ex-transp mm (% ) 0.2
10:00 Aug Durables ex-transpt R mm (%) 0.2
10:00 Aug Durable goods, R mm (%) -1.7
10:00 Aug Durables ex-def, R mm (%) -1.0
10:00 Aug Nondef cap ex-air R mm (%) 1.4
10:00 Aug Factory orders mm (%) 0.9 -0.8
Friday, Oct 05
8:30 Sep Average earnings mm (%) 0.3 0.4
8:30 Sep Private Payrolls (k) 185 204
8:30 Sep Non-farm payrolls (k) 188 201
8:30 Sep Manufacturing payrolls (k) 10 -3
8:30 Sep Average workweek hrs (hr) 34.5 34.5
8:30 Sep Unemployment rate mm (%) 3.8 3.9
8:30 Aug International trade mm $ (bl) -50.0 -50.1
15:00 Aug Consumer credit (bl) 15.00 16.64

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